bryndos

You’d think the timing should reflect the typical terms of loans and loan volumes - so that sounds plausible. When the default rate of those loans begins to creep up and become notable to investors, then people will get edgy.

I just hope it comes before our much loved and overpaid layers of incompetent management have destroyed all their manual production processes and replaced them with snake oil. If not a general economic downturn might start well before the ai bubble bursts.

I am the night riderrrrrr!!!

I thought the rebuttal to this was covered in ‘The Thirteenth Floor’. They don’t have to simulate the entire universe, and it doesn’t have to be consistent. Just the parts that the PCs are looking at.

I’m not even going to mention what tricks they can do with the rewind button.

Anyways this paper was likely written by an NPC.

Didn’t mean to spark a sociology thesis

Be careful what you say where on lemmy then. This type of outcome is pretty much par for the course for a shitpost. Stick to the politics thread if you want a lighthearted shitty experience.

ps- whats a roku? and if you’re so into technology and all why are you not just using nixos? It can do anything else that any other thing can do with just one awesome config file??? /j

pps - If you can rile up tankies, linux users and get a sociology thesis out of someone all in one shitpost, then you’ll win a lemming-turd-cake - one of the highest honours in all shitpostdom.

Hmmn, a “journalist” . . . that’s a much worse slur, the way I use English.

I’d far rather have a pint with a chav than any fucking journo.

I agree with previous comment. Chav is a subculture that partially intersects with most other classes, except probably no overlap with fully inbred level pure-toffs. I’d say well over half of working class would not be classed as chav.

It’s like one chicken farmer invented a new low cost web-scale egg storage container.

The main thing i learn in these outages is that so many services are lot less important than people think and many people spend far too many hours in work. Definitely less useful than chickens at any rate.

Yes, maths and statistics courses in school, college, university would be the tried and tested route for learning the analytical and practical tools and techniques.

Forecasting rare events with any precision is almost a contradiction in terms though. When you’re down to the 1/10000 type events you need such a large dataset/sample, that there are almost always unobservable sub-populations, or unobservable historical / environmental factors that your data is likely to be missing; something important that could materially change the forecast if you were to have had complete, unbiassed data on it for you whole sample.

Practical forecasting though , i think, should be tied into the decision making, and trying to reduce the risk of choosing the course of action to take. The set of possible / feasible actions shapes the forecasting approach - you can’t really learn that pragmatic tradeoff in academic institutions - i think it’s just experience. Make some predictions, get them wrong, do a forensic analysis. Or collaborate with people who have done this for a living.

In respect of the AI, you need to check it had a reasonable concept of the population of events you want to know about. Understands its sample of observations, how that sample was drawn (i.e. it wasn’t random), and the biases in that sample or sampling method. Then it should be easy to recalculate its output, then you come up with some scenarios of the bias, or adjustments see what changes those scenarios have. A competent forecaster should have addressed major/obvious sources of bias, with ranges / scenarios etc. " how wrong might this forecast be if we assumed, X, Y, Z instead?" I don’t trust anyone who asserts they have a representative sample, it’s impossible to prove that 100% - otherwise you’d not need a sample in the first place.

“They’ve got cars big as bars, they’ve got rivers of gold But the wind goes right through you, it’s no place for the old”

Gary Pacho liked the idea but had ran out of matches.

I’d think not a lot higher than currently.

Thos says average land elevation is 840m https://www.studycountry.com/wiki/what-is-the-average-elevation-of-the-world

Spread that over the other 70% of the surface and your probably down at a 3-400 hundred metres you floated it on top of the sea. Which i think is approximately the same thing if the land displaces its volume equally. I guess there’d be a decent amount of compression though so, my guess is not much more than a few hundred metres.

Anyway, I’m sure the good people of the Netherlands will find a way to foil your dastardly scheme.

OK for timekeeping but I’d say that’s mostly for human scale stuff and as you say involves dumb stuff like leap seconds every handful of years, and presumably the Earth’s spin and orbits will change more radically eventually - i guess we’re just expecting humans to die out before it becomes too much more of a problem.

But thinking about measuring for science - irrespective of human geocentrism?

Should scientific measures all be built up from planck units or something?

Genuine question, do you think seconds are sensibly defined either in SI or otherwise?

My first job was all small rooms of 4-6 desks. Rigid desks, with stuff like drawers where you could keep stuff. Enough space for a few desktop computers, crt monitors, in trays, out trays, reference books and files and still space to work.

Way better than the open plan that came along and the desks gradually shrank down to a small square on a single large shared table who’se thin badly supported top is vibrating from everyone else typing.

I’m sure a 70s typing pool type situation would have been worse - but personally my situation has regressed a lot closer to that now. WFH is more productive just because i have enough space for the way i work.

I’d love a cubicle office - never actually worked in one - but I doubt it be as good as the small room setup was .

Glad to see all these supposedly smart people are just as fucking stupid as normals. Still it’s a weird kind of nightmare - i remember being a student when the libraries closed early on Sundays . It was so unbearably awful that I was compelled to go to the pub and play pool - and condemned to a future life of poverty and shame.

Yes, they just have to “run it at a loss”. Instead of trying to drive up the fares trying to reach “profitable” levels.

A lot of the savings should come from reduced road deterioration and lower road maintenance costs.

I buy the phone for the os these days. It does mean getting a used phone from back a few years.

I think newer phones seem to make it harder maybe even impossible to unlock the bootloader. I use a sony xa2 (2018) and it’s only possible because sony still has a service to issue unlock codes for it. I think if sony turns that service off, then no more lineage os unless you already unlocked it.