• HelixDab2@lemm.ee
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    1 year ago

    This is such a stupid and irresponsible article.

    First, Trump has to be found guilty.

    Second, he has to be found guilty before the elections.

    Third, he has to lose the election (which is more or less a toss-up), because if he wins the election, he’ll pardon himself on all federal charges.

    Fourth, even if all of that other shit happens, he has to be ordered to report to jail immediately after sentencing, without waiting for an appeal that will certainly be attempted.

    This relies on so many things happening in just the right order that it’s functionally speculation.

    If Putin “accidentally” hits a NATO target while trying to strike Ukraine, and if NATO responds in kind, and if Putin reacts to NATO’s response by launching nuclear weapons, and if NATO countries respond by launching a full-scale nuclear attach on Russia, then the world will have global thermonuclear war and humanity will have solved human-created climate change via nuclear winter! Yeah, it’s all possible, but it’s not probable.

    • Smoogs@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Let’s throw some more logs on this fire….

      Donald Trump has been charged with 37 criminal counts covering seven different violations of federal law

      The election is nov 2024

      The trial starts in august 2023

      There are at least 10 other candidates running for republican

      • CmdrShepard42@lemm.ee
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        1 year ago

        And this pardon would only apply to a federal conviction while Trump is facing charges in both state and federal courts.

      • b_n@sh.itjust.works
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        1 year ago

        I want to believe, I really do. But people were saying this prior to him winning the first election… And the second.

        Let’s just hope he doesn’t get elected 🤞

        • Coreidan@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          Well except he lost his second election due to his first presidency being a failure. Since then it’s only gotten worse for him so I’d say his odds of winning are even lower than the second election.

          • banneryear1868@lemmy.world
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            1 year ago

            I think it’s more the pandemic that contributed to the Democrats winning the presidency, also the margins are so small with most voters locked in. Hopefully Trump doesn’t pull through but I doubt the Rs are picking anyone else to run. Historical chances usually the incumbent wins.

            • eldavi@lemmy.world
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              1 year ago

              i hate biden so much for fucking my life so permanently that the perverse side of me wants trump to win because my career and financial stability has improved DRAMATICALLY, directly because of trumps actions when he was president.

              i’m not going to vote for biden and will do everything in my power to advocate for voting against biden to everyone i know (and i’ve recently been deeply touched to learn that it works because they know and care for me on a personal level); but this time i won’t hold it against them if any for trump.

              • banneryear1868@lemmy.world
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                1 year ago

                Trump presided during a time of relatively stable economic recovery shortly after the last speculative bubble burst. I don’t believe the two major parties are that different on the economic front, they’re basically supported by the same donors and none of their policies really affect the status quo. For the US voter they offer a choice between different culture war factions, which is basically how it’s been since Reagan.

              • WarmSoda@lemm.ee
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                1 year ago

                I’m curious. Can you explain how exactly Biden being president has fucked your “life so permanently”?

                Also, how did your career and financial stability improve DRAMATICALLY solely because of Trump?

                • eldavi@lemmy.world
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                  1 year ago

                  copy/pasted from previous interaction: *he supported doma, dont-ask-dont-tell, and spearheaded permanent student loan debt.

                  so when i graduated high, school military service was not an option because because of don’t-ask-don’t-tell and my parents were migrant farm workers who had no provisions for me. so the only option left to me was to go to college where i racked up enough permanently undischargable student loan debt that grew exponentially between the 2008 and covid collapses thanks to biden’s student loan debt bill. I’ll be paying for it for the rest of my life as a result.

                  between 2008 and covid, i wanted to marry another immigrant who had no legal status and, thanks to doma, i couldn’t marry and sponsor him so he got deported. he moved on and got married when it was politically convenient for biden to decide that gay marriage was okay and i’m too old of an incouragable fart to date.*

                  And my financial stability improved because his dipshit unilateral embargoes and actions forced companies to react and I’ve been one of the beneficiaries of those reactions at a time when it was clear that my industry was turtling to protect their bank accounts.